EST. 2024 · LONDON·MMXXVI SPECIFICATION
AQA·Edexcel·OCR|Foundation + Higher
Ratio, Proportion & Rates of Change

Sheet № 235 · Higher only · AQA · Edexcel · OCR

235

Exponential Growth and Decay –

Exponential growth and decay is a Higher tier topic that models situations where a quantity increases or decreases by a constant percentage over equal time periods. Unlike linear change (which adds a fixed amount), exponential change multiplies by a fixed factor. This produces the characteristic J-shaped growth curve or the gradually flat

§Key definitions

Exponential growth

occurs when a quantity multiplies by a factor greater than 1 in each time period. The quantity increases faster and faster over time.

Exponential decay

occurs when a quantity multiplies by a factor between 0 and 1 in each time period. The quantity decreases, approaching zero but never quite reaching it.

Question:

A colony of bacteria starts with 500 bacteria and triples every hour. How many bacteria are there after 4 hours?

Answer:

After 4 hours, there are 40,500 bacteria.

Q1 (Higher):

A population of 2,000 increases by 10% per year. Find the population after 5 years.

§Formulas to memorise

y = a x b^x

Fraction remaining = (1/2)^n

a — = the initial amount (when x = 0, y = a)

b — = the growth or decay factor per time period

x — = the number of time periods

Exponential growth: occurs when a quantity multiplies by a factor greater than 1 in each time period. The quantity increases faster and faster over time.

Exponential decay: occurs when a quantity multiplies by a factor between 0 and 1 in each time period. The quantity decreases, approaching zero but never quite reaching it.

Identify the initial amount — (a) from the question.

Determine the growth or decay factor — (b). For a 5% annual increase, b = 1.05. For a 20% annual decrease, b = 0.80.

Identify the number of time periods — (x).

Worked example

A colony of bacteria starts with 500 bacteria and triples every hour. How many bacteria are there after 4 hours?

Working:

Common mistakes

  • Confusing exponential with linear. Exponential growth multiplies by the same factor. Linear growth adds the same amount. If a population doubles each year, it is exponential, not linear.
  • Using b > 1 for decay. If something is decreasing, b must be between 0 and 1. A 20% decrease means b = 0.80, not 1.20.
  • Forgetting the initial amount. The formula is y = ab^x, not y = b^x. The initial amount a must be included.
  • Confusing half-life with halving the rate. The half-life is a time period. After one half-life, the amount halves. After two half-lives, it is a quarter of the original (not zero).
  • Assuming exponential decay reaches zero. The curve approaches zero but mathematically never reaches it.

Exam tips

  • Write the formula y = ab^x and clearly state the values of a and b. This earns method marks.
  • If asked to sketch the graph, show the curve starting at the initial value on the y-axis, rising steeply for growth or falling and levelling off for decay.
  • For half-life questions, count the number of half-lives first, then use (1/2)^n.
  • If given a table of values and asked whether growth is exponential, check whether consecutive values have a constant ratio.
  • Round money answers to 2 decimal places (nearest penny) unless told otherwise.
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