EST. 2024 · LONDON·MMXXVI SPECIFICATION
AQA·Edexcel·OCR|Foundation + Higher
Statistics & Probability

Sheet № 240 · Foundation + Higher · AQA · Edexcel · OCR

240

Sample Space Diagrams –

Sample space diagrams are a key probability tool tested on AQA, Edexcel and OCR GCSE papers at Foundation and Higher tier. They let you list every possible outcome when two events are combined — for example, rolling two dice or spinning two spinners — and then calculate probabilities by counting favourable outcomes. Getting the diagram ri

§Key definitions

Question:

Two fair six-sided dice are rolled and their scores are added together. Find the probability that the total is 7.

Answer:

P(total is 7) = 6/36 = 1/6.

Q1 (Foundation):

Two fair six-sided dice are rolled and the scores added. Find the probability that the total is less than 5.

Q2 (Foundation):

A fair coin is flipped and a fair four-sided dice (1–4) is rolled. List the sample space and find P(tail and number > 2).

Q3 (Higher):

Two fair six-sided dice are rolled and the scores are multiplied. Find the probability that the product is a square number.

§Formulas to memorise

Total number of outcomes = number of outcomes for event 1 × number of outcomes for event 2

P(event) = number of favourable outcomes ÷ total number of outcomes

List the outcomes — of each event along the top and down the side of a grid.

Fill in every cell — with the combined result (e.g. the sum, product or pair).

Count the total — number of outcomes (this should match the product rule).

Count the favourable outcomes — those that satisfy the condition in the question.

Calculate the probability — as favourable ÷ total and simplify.

Worked example

Two fair six-sided dice are rolled and their scores are added together. Find the probability that the total is 7.

Working:

Common mistakes

  • Missing outcomes. If you do not draw a complete grid, you risk leaving out combinations. Always check that the number of cells matches the product rule.
  • Double-counting. When listing pairs like (2,5) and (5,2), these are different outcomes for two dice — count them both.
  • Confusing sums and products. Read the question carefully to see whether you should add, multiply or simply list the pair.

Exam tips

  • A well-drawn grid is quick and almost guarantees full marks — spend the time setting it up neatly.
  • For two dice, the total is always 36 outcomes. Memorise the symmetry: the most likely sum is 7 (six ways), with sums of 2 and 12 each having only one way.
  • If asked for P(at least 9), count outcomes that give 9, 10, 11 and 12.
  • For extensions using tree diagrams, see probability tree diagrams.
MMXXVI specification · AQA · Edexcel · OCRgcsemathsai.co.uk/formulas/sample-space-diagrams