EST. 2024 · LONDON·MMXXVI SPECIFICATION
AQA·Edexcel·OCR|Foundation + Higher
Statistics & Probability

Sheet № 73 · Foundation + Higher · AQA · Edexcel · OCR

73

Sampling Methods –

Sampling methods is a topic that bridges Foundation and Higher GCSE Maths and appears across AQA, Edexcel and OCR exam papers. In real life, it is rarely possible to survey every member of a population, so you take a sample instead. The way you choose that sample matters — a biased sample gives misleading results, while a well-chosen samp

§Key definitions

Advantages:

Eliminates selection bias; every member has an equal chance.

Disadvantages:

Needs a complete list of the population (a sampling frame); may not represent subgroups proportionally by chance, especially with small samples.

Question:

A school has 600 pupils and wants to survey a sample of 60. The table shows the number of pupils in each year group.

(a)

Sample fraction = 40/250 = 4/25.

(b)

Stratified sampling ensures each department is represented in proportion to its size. Random sampling might, by chance, over-represent one department and under-represent another, especially in a sample of only 40.

§Formulas to memorise

k = Population size ÷ Sample size

Number from stratum = (Stratum size ÷ Population size) × Sample size

Round to the nearest whole number if necessary (check the total still equals the sample size).

Sample fraction = 60/600 = 1/10.

Worked example

A school has 600 pupils and wants to survey a sample of 60. The table shows the number of pupils in each year group. | Year | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |---|---|---|---|---|---| | Pupils | 140 | 130 | 120 | 110 | 100 | Using stratified sampling

Working:

Common mistakes

  • Confusing sample and population — the population is everyone; the sample is the subset you actually survey.
  • Forgetting to round stratified sampling numbers — you cannot sample 12.8 people. Round sensibly and check the total still matches.
  • Applying the wrong formula — for stratified sampling, use (stratum ÷ total) × sample size. Do not divide the sample size equally across strata.
  • Not explaining bias clearly — saying a sample "might not be fair" is vague. Explain which groups could be over- or under-represented and why.
  • Thinking random = haphazard — random sampling requires a systematic method (e.g. random number generator), not just picking people casually.

Exam tips

  • Know the three main types — random, systematic and stratified. Be ready to describe each and give an advantage and disadvantage.
  • Stratified sampling calculations are very common — learn the formula and practise with different strata sizes. This is straightforward arithmetic that earns guaranteed marks.
  • Bias questions require specific explanations — always say which group is over- or under-represented and link it to the sampling method used.
  • Large samples are more reliable — if asked how to improve a survey, suggest increasing the sample size. This reduces the effect of random variation.
  • Link to data representation — once data is collected, you will likely need to display it using charts or calculate averages. See frequency tables and grouped data and bar charts, pie charts and pictograms.
MMXXVI specification · AQA · Edexcel · OCRgcsemathsai.co.uk/formulas/sampling-methods