EST. 2024 · LONDON·MMXXVI SPECIFICATION
AQA·Edexcel·OCR|Foundation + Higher
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Statistics & Probability · Foundation & Higher

Relative frequency

Relative frequency (experimental probability) is calculated from the results of an experiment. As the number of trials increases, relative frequency gets closer to the true theoretical probability.

Revising relative frequency the night before an exam? These are condensed revision notes — the facts, formulas and mistakes examiners actually mark, with no long explanations. Prefer a full walkthrough with step-by-step reasoning instead? Search “Relative frequency GCSE” on the site for the complete guide.

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Key facts to remember

  • 1Relative frequency = number of times event occurs ÷ total number of trials.
  • 2Relative frequency is an estimate of probability based on experiment.
  • 3Theoretical probability is based on equally likely outcomes (e.g. fair coin).
  • 4The more trials carried out, the more reliable the relative frequency estimate.
  • 5Relative frequency can be used when theoretical probability cannot be calculated.
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Formulas

Relative frequency
Relative frequency = frequency ÷ total trials
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Worked examples

Example 1

A biased coin is flipped 200 times. It lands on heads 130 times. Estimate the probability of heads.

Working

  1. Relative frequency = 130 ÷ 200 = 0.65
Answer0.65
Example 2

A die is rolled 300 times. The number 6 appears 42 times. Is the die likely to be fair?

Working

  1. Relative frequency of 6 = 42 ÷ 300 = 0.14
  2. Theoretical probability of 6 on a fair die = 1/6 ≈ 0.167
  3. 0.14 is below 0.167 but with 300 trials some variation is expected
  4. Cannot conclude the die is definitely biased without more evidence
Answer0.14; the die may or may not be biased — more trials are needed to be certain.
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Common mistakes

Treating relative frequency as exact probability — it is only an estimate.
Using too few trials to draw conclusions about bias.
Confusing relative frequency (experimental) with theoretical probability.
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Exam tips

Always state that relative frequency is an estimate of probability, not the exact probability.
More trials → more reliable estimate — mention this when asked about improving accuracy.

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